Global stock markets continued their march upwards driven by a combination of improving U.S. economic data, the release of better than expected earnings and a low interest rate environment that favoured risky assets. This was positive for capital flows into South Africa, which pushed the All Share Index up 13.9% for the quarter. Property (+12.2%) participated in the rally as the global hunt for yield resumed despite slowing income growth. Bonds (+3%) and income (+1.9%) also produced positive returns but lagged riskier assets. Pleasingly the real return component (+5.3%) outperformed cash (+1.9%) and we continue to believe that this will be a good substitute for cash over the coming years. In dollar terms, global equities (+17.9%) and global bonds (+6.2%) benefited from the increased risk appetite however this was more muted in Rand terms due to Rand strength. The Portfolio performed in line with its benchmark and peers for the quarter. Over the past year the Fund produced a positive return of 7.4% and on another pleasing note the Portfolio was ranked 8 / 21 in its sector over a 3 year period.

Following the annual optimization of the long term strategic asset allocation of the fund, we implemented a change to the fund's composite benchmark in September, reflected elsewhere in this factsheet. The main changes to the benchmark were the increase in foreign exposure from 10% to 12.5% and the increase in property exposure from 7.5% to 10% at the expense of cash and income. Albeit that the total equity exposure in the benchmark increased from 52% to 53.3% on a see through basis, the overall risk profile of the Portfolio was largely unchanged. We continue to manage actively around the benchmark and at quarter end the Portfolio was slightly underweight foreign exposure and marginally underweight equity in total. Exposure to property has been raised on a strategic basis, whilst the Portfolio remains significantly underweight fixed income assets as we believe them to be unattractively priced given we are nearing a turn in the interest rate cycle.

Although the equity market has priced in a lot of good news and is vulnerable to disappointment, we would not be surprised to see current momentum continue over the remainder of the year.

Global stock markets had an excellent second quarter, continuing their rally from the March 9th lows. Investors quickly latched onto the "green shoots" theme as data releases became less worse, and the rally gained momentum. The ALSI returned 8.7% for the quarter. Property did not participate in the equity rally with the SAPY down 0.9% for the quarter, as investors began to worry about distribution growth normalizing and the threat of rising vacancy rates. The ALBI was basically flat at +0.3% for the quarter. The yield on the SAGB1 0 rose from 8.6% to 9.0% as investors began to worry about massive new issuance and sticky inflation. Income (1-3 year index) fared better than bonds, gaining 1.4%.

We remain sceptical at this point in time as to whether the global economy is on the path of a self-sustainable recovery and would like to see a continuity of data improvements for a sufficient length of time to convince us that what we are currently experiencing is something more than statistical noise. At quarter end, we were slightly overweight local equities relative to benchmark. In retrospect, the timing of our tactical equity purchases was extremely prescient. Combined with market movements, we came very close to the top end of our consolidated equity limit of 55% in early June. In line with our fundamental views, we took the opportunity to sell a large portion of our tactical purchases into market strength so as to lock in profits. We reduced our underweight to bonds towards quarter end as yields picked up. We remain overweight cash. The Rand strengthened dramatically versus the dollar over the quarter, reducing our foreign exposure to a slight underweight position; we remain underweight global equities.

The Portfolio ranked 23/33 amongst its peers for the quarter, but is excellently ranked at 5/33 for the past 12 months. Pleasingly all of our domestic building blocks outperformed their respective benchmarks. We continue to look for opportunities to tactically tilt the portfolio to enhance performance.

Global stock markets began the year on a positive note with investors optimistic on the Obama stimulus plan. This optimism was short lived however, as US labour market and factory orders data disappointed. Markets sold off further when Tim Geithner's highly anticipated "Financial Stability Plan" was branded as vague. Concerns about US bank nationalization and a spate of deteriorating global data releases pushed markets into a nosedive from around mid February onwards, finally bottoming on March 9 (the ALSI exhibited relative strength, bottoming on March 3). Markets then rallied through March 27, on news of Citibank and Bank of America returning to profitability, the Fed's dramatic step-up in quantitative easing by announcing it would purchase US Treasury bonds, and the data releases suggesting that the US housing market may be nearing a bottom. Despite this rally, it was still a negative quarter, with S&P 500 down 11.7% and the ALSI down 4.2%. Bonds also lost ground (-5.1%), as did property (-1.4%); income bucked the trend gaining 2.3%.

We continue to adopt a cautious approach, as it is likely that the recovery will be U-shaped accompanied by heightened volatility. However, we are now more optimistic than before, as the actions taken by global central banks appear to have been successful in stabilizing the system. At quarter end, we were overweight local equities and we had reduced our underweight to global equities (assisted by timely tactical purchases), relative to benchmark. Early in January, we went underweight bonds and property relative to benchmark, as we believed most of the "good news" was priced in; we maintain this view. We ended the quarter marginally underweight in cash. The Rand was flat for the quarter versus the dollar, and our foreign exposure was marginally underweight its benchmark.

The Portfolio was ranked 8/34 amongst its peers for the quarter and is now ranked 7/34 for the past 12 months. We continue to monitor conditions closely and will take advantage of irrational "distress selling' to selectively up weight equities should we feel that valuations are compelling based on a 5-year view.

Global stock markets accelerated their down move during the quarter as the financial crisis deteriorated and began to impact the real economy. In the U.S., employment stats, retail sales, industrial production, construction and housing data, and a host of other data weakened, with many new lows recorded. Most markets reached significant lows on November 20th, but managed to rally thereafter and recoup some of their losses. At its lowest close, the ALSI was down 25.0% during the quarter. It ended the quarter down 9.2% with Resources recouping a large portion of their losses. Interest rate sensitive assets rallied during the quarter (bonds +11.4%, property +8.5%, income +5.5%) as investors focused on lower inflation expectations and began to anticipate significant interest rate cuts, the first of which occurred in December 2008.

We continue to adopt a cautious approach as it is likely that the recovery will be U-shaped accompanied by heightened volatility. We remain underweight equities, both locally and globally, relative to benchmark and significantly overweight cash. Towards the end of the year, we went slightly overweight bonds and property on a short term tactical basis, as we correctly forecast that the bond rally would maintain its momentum. Early in January 2009 we booked some profits and returned to our underweight positions to these asset classes, believing that most of the "good news" was priced in. Our foreign exposure continued to benefit the fund on an absolute basis, as the Rand blew out during October (along with most emerging market currencies), ultimately weakening 13.5% to the dollar for the quarter.

The Fund was ranked 22/34 amongst its peers for the quarter and is now ranked 13/33 for the past 12 months. We continue to monitor conditions closely and will take advantage of irrational "distress selling" to selectively up weight equities should the economic picture become clearer as local valuations (on a 5-year view) appear attractive should consensus earnings not be downgraded significantly.