Marriott Property Equity comment - Sep 14 - Fund Manager Comment18 Dec 2014
Property held in the fund is at the minimum level of 50% and the use of single stock
futures has further brought down the effective exposure to approximately 35%. The
medium term outlook is for lower distribution growth from the sector due to the impact of
rising property operating expenses, increasing vacancies and more costly debt. To ensure
resilience in the current environment, we have positioned the portfolio to favour bigger
and more liquid stocks and have restricted our investable universe to property funds with
a market capitalisation in excess of R2-billion.
Future Expectations
The normalisation of monetary policy in the US is expected to exert upward pressure on
bond yields and interest rates in emerging economies. Due to the high correlation between
bonds and property yields, property is unlikely to perform well in this environment.
Property yields are also currently approximately 1% lower than bond yields. This yield
differential is high by historic standards , increasing the risk of capital losses from this
asset class. The Property Equity Fund will manage investors’ property exposure through
this period of demanding valuations by only increasing its current 35% effective exposure
when yields are more appropriate.
Marriott Property Equity comment - Jun 14 - Fund Manager Comment26 Aug 2014
Property held in the fund is at the minimum level of 50% and the use of single stock futures has further brought down the effective exposure to approximately 35%. The medium term outlook is for lower distribution growth from the sector due to the impact of rising property operating expenses and increasing vacancies. To ensure resilience in the current environment, we have positioned the portfolio to favour bigger and more liquid stocks and have restricted our investable universe to property funds with a market capitalisation in excess of R2-billion.
Future Expectations
The withdrawal of monetary stimulus in the first world is expected to exert upward pressure on bond yields and interest rates in emerging economies. Due to the high correlation between bonds and property yields, property is unlikely to perform well in this environment. Property yields are also currently approximately 1% lower than bond yields. This yield differential is high by historic standards , increasing the risk of capital losses from this asset class. The Property Equity Fund will manage investors' property exposure through this period of demanding valuations by only increasing its current 35% effective exposure when yields are more appropriate.
Marriott Property Equity comment - Mar 14 - Fund Manager Comment28 May 2014
Property held in the fund is at the minimum level of 50% and the use of single stock futures has further brought down the effective exposure to approximately 35%. The medium term outlook is for lower distribution growth from the sector due to the impact of rising property operating expenses and increasing vacancies. To ensure resilience in the current environment, we have positioned the portfolio to favour bigger and more liquid stocks and have restricted our investable universe to property funds with a market capitalisation in excess of R2-billion.
Future Expectations
The withdrawal of monetary stimulus in the first world is expected to exert upward pressure on bond yields and interest rates in emerging economies. Due to the high correlation between bonds and property yields, property is unlikely to perform well in this environment. Property yields are also currently approximately 1% lower than bond yields. This yield differential is high by historic standards , increasing the risk of capital losses from this asset class.. The Property Equity Fund will manage investors' property exposure through this volatile period by only increasing its current 35% effective exposure when valuations are more appropriate.
Marriott Property Equity comment - Dec 13 - Fund Manager Comment27 Mar 2014
Property held in the fund is at the minimum level of 50% and the use of single stock futures has further brought down the effective exposure to approximately 35%. The medium term outlook is for lower distribution growth from the sector due to the impact of rising property operating expenses and increasing vacancies. To ensure resilience in the current environment, we have positioned the portfolio to favour bigger and more liquid stocks and have restricted our investable universe to property funds with a market capitalisation in excess of R2-billion.
Future Expectations
Recent market events have resulted in a global sell-off of bonds. During 2013 the SA 10 year bond yield moved out from a low point of 6.1% to the current level of approximately 8% over a 7 month period resulting in capital losses for investors of approximately 13%. Although the property sector has not experienced capital losses to the same extent over the corresponding period, the differential between bond and property yields has widened, increasing the risk of capital losses from an investment in this asset class. With an expectation of continued upward pressure on bond and property yields due to the "tapering" of quantitative easing, property exposure within the fund will be kept to a minimum and hedges will remain in place. The Property Equity Fund will manage investors' property exposure through this volatile period by only increasing its current 35% effective exposure when valuations are more appropriate.